Measurements and Sources of Error

Measurements and Sources of Error

Recent measurements show a sea-level rise of about 1 to 2 millimeters per year or 100 millimeters in the last century. Sources of error in these measurements come from intra-annual variations due to changing meteorological conditions, such as persistence of wind from a particular direction or at a particular speed. A stronger than normal wind from the west will cause an apparent sea level rise on the west coast of continents and lower sea level on the east coasts. A similar artificial change in sea level could arise from persistently anomalous ocean circulation. By use of historical records and numerical models, the contribution from these sources can be removed to more accurately reveal actual sea-level rise. We need significant amounts of data to do this, however, and there may be a historical geographical bias that favors North America, Northern Europe and Japan. Southern Hemisphere records are much less complete. See the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level site of the Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory for information on how sea level is measured.

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